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Why Is EUR/USD Rising Above 1.0450? | German Election Fallout & USD Weakness Explained

The elon musk coin price predictionEUR/USD currency pair demonstrates upward momentum in early Asian trading, currently hovering around 1.0480 with a 0.18% daily gain.


Political developments in Germany combined with soft US economic indicators create favorable conditions for Euro appreciation against the Greenback.


Market participants closely monitor coalition formation prospects in Berlin following Sunday's decisive electoral outcome.


Currency traders witnessed the Euro strengthening against its American counterpart during Monday's Asian session as preliminary results from Germany's federal election confirmed expectations. The Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) alliance emerged victorious, securing approximately 28.5% of ballots according to ZDF exit polling data.


Political analysts note the surprising second-place finish of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party, which captured 20% voter support. Market attention now shifts to potential coalition negotiations that could determine the pace of economic reforms in Europe's largest economy. The Euro's resilience reflects investor confidence in political continuity despite the strong far-right showing.



Across the Atlantic, disappointing economic readings from the United States contributed to Dollar weakness. S&P Global's latest Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) readings revealed concerning trends, with the composite index plunging to 50.4 from January's 52.7. Particularly noteworthy was the services sector contraction below the 50-point expansion threshold, registering at 49.7 for February.



While manufacturing activity showed modest improvement (51.6 vs. 51.2), the broader economic picture suggests slowing momentum. Currency strategists observe that such data reduces pressure on the Federal Reserve to maintain restrictive monetary policies, thereby diminishing the Dollar's yield advantage. Market participants await additional US economic indicators later this week for clearer directional signals.



The currency pair's technical outlook appears constructive following this fundamental catalyst. Resistance levels near 1.0500 represent the next psychological barrier for Euro bulls, while support holds around 1.0450. Trading volumes remain subdued during Asian hours, with European session participation expected to provide clearer conviction about the pair's near-term trajectory.